No stopping flat-tax juggernaut
NEIL REYNOLDS
From Wednesday's Globe and Mail
May 2, 2007 at 5:52 AM EDT
OTTAWA — In one of its first acts last year as an independent country, Macedonia (population: two million) legislated radical tax reforms. On Jan. 1, 2007, the country introduced a flat-rate tax of 12 per cent on both personal and corporate income, matching the rate introduced two years ago by Georgia (population: 5.6 million). On Jan. 1, 2008, Macedonia will cut its rate to 10 per cent - and achieve one of the lowest tax rates in the world.
Macedonia's tax revenues will almost certainly rise. The country's new, young (age: 36 years) free-market Prime Minister, Nikola Gruevski, cites the phenomenon of voluntary compliance that accompanies flat-tax regimes. "This reform will decrease tax evasion," he says, "and encourage people to meet their obligations to the state." As Russia (population: 144 million) vividly demonstrated when it adopted a flat tax (replacing a 40-per-cent rate on personal income with a 13-per-cent rate) in 2000, low rates are persuasive tax collectors. Russia's revenues rose 25 per cent in the first year, 25 per cent in the second year, 15 per cent in the third year. People who violently resist getting scalped will submit voluntarily for a trim.
With a 10-per-cent flat-tax rate, Macedonia will join two other improbable countries with "the lowest tax rates on Earth" - Kyrgyzstan (population: five million) and neighbouring Kazakhstan (population: 15 million). Uzbekistan (population: 26 million) has a 10-per-cent rate for corporate income but retains an 18-per-cent rate for personal income.
A number of other countries are credible contenders for the low-tax world title in coming rounds - Georgia and Russia, of course, at 12 and 13 per cent respectively, Ukraine (population: 47 million) at 13 per cent. Montenegro (population: 630,000), another country that gained independence last year, has enacted a flat-rate corporate tax of 9 per cent. Bulgaria (population: 7.5 million) is close behind with a flat-rate corporate tax of 10 per cent. Montenegro and Bulgaria, however, retain progressive rates for personal income. On the other hand, Mongolia (population: 2.7 million) adopted a 10-per-cent flat rate for personal income but kept its corporate rates progressive - though significantly reduced.
Around the world, tax rate competition is getting keener. Countries that resist flat-tax reform are nevertheless lowering rates. Poland (population: 37.5 million) has moved three-quarters of the way to a flat tax - with a single rate of 19 per cent for all corporate income, capital gains, dividends and self-employed individuals. Spain (population: 40 million) has introduced a flat rate of 18 per cent for all income derived from savings. Effective this year, Iceland (population: 300,000) taxes all personal income at a flat rate of 32 per cent - which appears high because it includes municipal as well as national taxes. It now taxes capital gains, dividends, interest income and rental income at a flat rate of 10 per cent.
Novel adaptations take place in unexpected places. The Indian Ocean island nation of Mauritius (population: 1.2 million) has legislated a flat tax of 15 per cent on all personal and corporate income - effective July 1, 2009. Guernsey, the Channel Islands ward of the British government, has enacted a zero-per-cent tax rate for all corporate income and has capped (at £250,000) the amount of personal taxes it will collect from any one person. The Isle of Man, another British ward, this one in the Irish Sea, has matched Guernsey's zero-per-cent corporate rate and imposed a lower personal cap (£100,000).
No country that has adopted a flat tax has ever switched back - among them, Ireland (population: four million), the highest-income, lowest-taxed country in Europe; the Baltic countries of Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania (combined population: seven million), the three newly independent countries that set off the flat-tax revolution in former Soviet bloc countries in 1994; and Hong Kong, the eccentric jurisdiction that gives all taxpayers the choice of paying either a progressive tax (from 2 to 20 per cent) or a flat tax (16 per cent). And the list of countries preparing for flat-tax reform keeps growing. Greece (population 10.6 million) and Croatia (population: 4.5 million) will be next. Kuwait (population 2.9 million) and Mexico (population: 107.5 million) are considering it.
People think North America is indifferent. Wrong. The revolution moves relentlessly closer. Five U.S. states now have flat taxes for personal income - Colorado, Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Two more have copied Hong Kong's optional approach - Rhode Island and Utah. This common sense revolution can't be stopped.
nreynolds@xplornet.com
Top taxer
Denmark has the highest income tax rate in the world, with its top-taxed citizens paying 68 per cent of their hard-earned crowns. Denmark's lowest tax rate is 42 per cent. - Guinness Book of World Records